Wednesday 3 August 2011

Special Ramadan in North Africa

Since January this year, and the eruption of North African societies, everybody knows that nothing is going to be like before.
Since Monday the first Ramadan after the revolution began in the cacophony of the political debates and the rise of the foodstuffs prices. Freedom has indeed another taste, isn’t it?
Ramadan is the holy month for Muslim societies. It is supposed to be very peaceful time for pray and human solidarity. It seems that the spiritual mood is going to be mixed with the will of changes.
Ironically what the people see right now as the most concrete change is how prices of food are absurdly and extremely high. The basic element is quite unaffordable for the ordinary Tunisian or Egyptian.
One cannot think of it without considering the objective situation in which millions of people are like trapped by conflicts and live in a kind of an open air prison.
Algerians are under the pressure of a political regime which is not ready to concede any margin of change unless it comes from it. The opposition would have tried to make the population move but had no success.
In morocco, Mohamed VI, made a big effort by announcing a big political reform daring even to give the executive power a bigger margin.
Still a big part of the opposition considers it not enough. Some radicals are even calling for a continuous uprising. The country is divided but the majority stands after the beloved king.
In Libya , where the revolution is still going on with the very problematic help of the NATO, the holy month will be a month of fight and war. Gaddafi and his clan are more and more weak.
The end of the Libyan leader is probably coming within the end of the holy month. Insurgent are already dreaming of a double celebration: the religious fete and the fall of the dictator.
Countries like Tunisia and Egypt, where dictators belong already to a bygone era, are not necessarily privileged. It seems that the mechanics of change are facing some dysfunction.
After Mubarak en Ben Ali left the power, interim government were established in both of the two countries. Their mission is to watch after the democratic transition.
It doesn’t simply work. People are back to the streets. They call for the justice and for the change which they are not seeing any concrete sings.
There are elections planned is September for the one country and in October for the other. A process is going on with the international dubious financial sustain despite demonstrations, despite screams from here and there.
There will be elections, but only a small part of the population believes in it.
Less than two million Tunisians are officially registered in the elective lists until now. The deadline of inscription was postponed in order to get more people in.
In Egypt , people are back to the streets to force the highest military institution in charge of the country to act according to the promises made right after Mubarak stepped out.
There is one common point to all these situations: the politics are doing without that the people gets really involved in the process.
Politic doesn’t really have a direct connection with the real and daily life of the people. This latter is aware of it.
Politicians are debating and going on with a process despite the suffer of the poor, the despair of the youth, the anger of the intellectuals and the frustrations of those who naively believed in a possible and fair change.
If change there will be, it will never be the one of politicians. The main important thing remains the change of the way people from now on are going to think.
Until this is going to have any influence on the politic, these societies are going to waste one or two generations .... at least.

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